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Cindy

*Cindy A. Williams*
*Fish & Aquatic Conservation Program, AIS & FIS Program Coordinator*
*US Fish & Wildlife Service*
*1875 Century Blvd, 4th Floor*
*Atlanta, GA  30345*

404-679-4148-direct
404-679-4180- fax

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*Working toward delivering the best science**.  >}}}}}}}}(>       *
*<*),,^^^^^^,,^-,-<*

*"With the new day comes new strength and new thoughts" - Eleanor Roosevelt*

 >)))))))(>

---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: Goldberg, Jason <[log in to unmask]>
Date: Fri, Sep 7, 2018 at 7:57 AM
Subject: [WR_CoP] Climate Adaptation: News You Can Use
To: FWS National Climate Team <[log in to unmask]>, Forest
Ecology Working Group <[log in to unmask]>, Water Resources
Impacts <[log in to unmask]>


(Please feel free to share this within FWS.  Click on the titles to be
directed to the appropriate website.  If you know of anyone outside FWS who
might be interested, please let me know as I send out a slightly edited
version to other audiences.  As always, feedback or suggestions of news /
research to include are welcome!)

*News                                                    *
NOVA: Rise of the Superstorms
<http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/earth/rise-of-the-superstorms.html>
This isn't directly related to wildlife conservation, but as we continue
through the 2018 hurricane season, you might want to take a look back at
the events of last year, if just as a reminder that we need to be prepared
to assist in mitigating the damage from such storms and responding
afterward.  In this well-done documentary, NOVA takes you inside the 2017
superstorms and the cutting-edge research that will help society deal with
hurricanes in the future.

*Webinars and Meetings                      *
Climate Change in America's National Parks Webinar Series: Future Park
Leaders of  Emerging Change
<https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/1732037970292086785>
September 13, 2pm EDT | 11am PDT
The Future Park Leaders of Emerging Change program builds a pathway for
exemplary students in higher education to apply cutting-edge skills and
knowledge to various park management issues while gaining valuable work
experience, exploring career options, and developing leadership skills. The
program assists parks in meeting the complex real-world challenges posed by
global drivers of change.  Learn more about some of this year's student
experiences and learn how parks can apply to host an intern next summer
through the Future Park Leaders of Emerging Change program.

*2018 Great Lakes Adaptation Forum <http://glisa.umich.edu/GLAF18>*
September 24-26, 2018 | Ann Arbor, Michigan
The 3rd Great Lakes Adaptation Forum will bring together practitioners and
scholars from across the Great Lakes region of Canada and the United States
for 3 days of sharing climate adaptation and resilience solutions and
products in an engaged learning program. Exciting, high energy sessions
will include speakers, working groups, panel discussions, and many
opportunities for interaction and collaboration. The final registration
deadline is Friday, September 14.

*Connectivity for Climate Change: Assessing Threats and Identifying
Conservation Actions <https://casc.usgs.gov/webinar/costanza_connectivity>*
Thursday, September 20, 3 pm ET
Modeling habitat connectivity for wildlife species often results in a
mapped network of linkages between habitat patches. A critical next step is
to determine which of those linkages are priorities for conservation under
climate change, and which conservation actions should be taken on those
linkages. This webinar will present a framework for identifying priority
conservation actions for linkages based on information on their degree of
climate change threat, their importance to the overall habitat network, and
projected threats from other stressors. Southeast Climate Adaptation
Science Center researchers applied this framework to the connectivity
networks of three species in the Southeastern U.S.: Rafinesque’s big-eared
bat, black bear, and timber rattlesnake.

*Climate Visuals Workshop
<https://www.climatevisuals.org/events/climate-visuals-workshop-time-new-visual-language-climate-change-washington-dc-september-21>*
September 21, 2018, 2:30 - 6:30 pm | Washington, D.C.
Hosted by the World Resources Institute Global Climate Change Program, this
workshop is for communications professionals (from NGOs and commercial
organisations), journalists, social science researchers and photographers
who want to develop a more diverse visual language for climate change.


*Research                                        *
*Landscape Change in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge
<http://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/10/8/1305/pdf>*
(Thanks to Scott Covington for sharing this one.)
The research summarizes changes to the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge.
The most common changes were wildfire and postfire succession, shrub and
tree increase in the absence of fire, river erosion and deposition, and
ice-wedge degradation.  The paper estimates that 18% of the Refuge has
changed over the last 50 years.  The paper does note that it found little
evidence for increasing rates of change over the course of the study, even
though the recent interval of the study coincided with a period of
increased climate warming in northern Alaska, though the methodology can be
used to continue tracking changes in the future.

*Improved fisheries management could offset many negative impacts of
climate change
<http://advances.sciencemag.org/content/4/8/eaao1378/tab-pdf>*
The paper explores how improvements in fishery management can offset the
negative consequences of climate change and finds that the answer hinges on
the current status of stocks. The poor current status of many stocks
combined with potentially maladaptive responses to range shifts could
reduce future global fisheries yields and profits even more severely than
previous estimates have suggested. The paper shows that the future of
global fisheries could actually be more prosperous than today, but only if
management reforms addressing current mismanagement and looming challenges
from climate change are implemented in the near future across a wide range
of fisheries. An example of the media coverage the research received can be
found here. <https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2018/08/180829153902.htm>

*Opportunities for climate‐risk reduction through effective fisheries
management* <https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/gcb.14390>
The paper's findings highlight that most species and communities in the
world oceans have high risk of impacts from climate change and fishing
under “business‐as‐usual” climate change scenario and status quo fishing by
the 2050s. However, the effects of improvement (or degradation) in
fisheries management can play a key role in affecting the global‐average
climate‐fishing risk of impacts. The work emphasizes the importance of
eliminating overfishing and other measures, such as habitat restoration, as
an adaptation measure to reduce extinction risk from climate change.  A
news summary of the article can be found here.
<https://phys.org/news/2018-08-effective-fisheries-extinction-marine-fish.html>

*Vulnerability of global terrestrial ecosystems to climate change
<https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/gcb.14327>*
Recent attempts to quantify such impacts focus on measuring exposure to
climate change but largely ignore ecosystem resistance and resilience,
which may also affect the vulnerability outcomes.  In this study, the
relative vulnerability of global terrestrial ecosystems to short-term
climate variability was assessed by simultaneously integrating exposure,
sensitivity, and resilience at a high spatial resolution (0.05°). The
results show that vulnerable areas are currently distributed primarily in
plains. Responses to climate
change vary among ecosystems and deserts and xeric shrublands are the most
vulnerable biomes.

*Cracking the Code of Biodiversity Responses to Past Climate Change
<https://www.cell.com/trends/ecology-evolution/fulltext/S0169-5347(18)30165-4?_returnURL=https%3A%2F%2Flinkinghub.elsevier.com%2Fretrieve%2Fpii%2FS0169534718301654%3Fshowall%3Dtrue>*
How individual species and entire ecosystems will respond to future climate
change are among the most pressing questions facing ecologists.  In this
review, the authors discuss the mechanisms by which biodiversity responds
to environmental change and identify gaps of knowledge on the role of range
shifts and tolerance.  The study shows that local adaptation to new
conditions seems to have played a key role in the way species survived.

*Reducing risk in reserve selection under Modern Portfolio Theory: Coastal
planning under sea level rise
<https://besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/1365-2664.13190>*
The research extends the capability of previous work that used Modern
Portfolio Theory (adopted from the finance sector) to address uncertainty
in conservation planning. The work  allowed the authors to identify optimal
properties to preserve while maintaining connectivity for landward
migration of wetlands and accounting for risk. They conclude that
diversifying site selection for spatial planning through Modern Portfolio
Theory can ensure the supply of ecosystem services by reducing the risk of
failure across sea‐level rise scenarios.

*Effects of warming temperatures on boreal forests
<https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-018-0399-1.pdf>*
The research shows that, for boreal vegetation, warmer temperatures extend
vegetation activity, however the failure to cue to photoperiod led
to precocious green-up and a premature loss of frost hardiness, which
suggests that vulnerability to spring frost damage will increase in a
warmer world.  Vegetation strategies that have evolved to balance tradeoffs
associated with phenological temperature tracking may be optimal under
historical climates, but these strategies may not be optimized for future
climate regimes.


*And Finally...                         *
As students return to school, educators are looking for entertaining ways
to highlight important issues.  The "Game of Floods
<https://www.marincounty.org/depts/cd/divisions/planning/csmart-sea-level-rise/game-of-floods>"
was developed by the County of Marin (California) as a public education
activity on sea level rise adaptation, including traditional flood
protection measures, green infrastructure approaches, and policy/zoning
changes.  Four to six participants are tasked with developing a vision for
‘Marin Island 2050,’ a hypothetical landscape that highlights the
conditions that will be experienced in Marin in coming years with sea level
rise and increased storm impacts causing the loss or deterioration of
homes, community facilities, roads, agricultural land, beaches, wetlands,
lagoons, and other resources.

-- 
Jason Goldberg
U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service
Science Applications
Ph: 703-358-1866
Cell: 240-687-8213

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