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"Advances in Anticipatory Intelligence”
Tuesday, March 25, 8:30-4:00, USF Patel Center for Global Solutions
Hosted by the University of South Florida, School of Information; USF’s Program in National and Competitive Intelligence; and the Cybersecurity Initiative at USF

Overview:
Is it possible to get early warnings of emerging events around the world?
Why are some people better than others at forecasting future societal and economic events?
With so much information out there, how do you separate the signal from the noise?

These are the kinds of questions we will address at a free day-long workshop on Advances in Anticipatory Intelligence on 25 March, 2014. The conference will be held from 0830 to 1600 at the Patel Center for Global Solutions on the campus of University of South Florida (USF). The event is sponsored by USF’s Program in National and Competitive Intelligence; the School of Information; and Cybersecurity at USF. A hot lunch will be provided, so please register (below) so we can get an accurate count.

Sessions will features the latest research from an innovative, highly successful IARPA (Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity) program exploring how best to combine and use information to forecast significant events around the world, including:

IARPA’s ACE: Aggregative Contingent Estimation (ACE) Program, which was designed to dramatically enhance the accuracy, precision, and timeliness of intelligence forecasts for a broad range of event types, through the development of advanced techniques that elicit, weight, and combine the judgments of many intelligence analysts.

IARPA’s Open Source Indicators (OSI) Program, which was designed to develop methods for continuous, automated analysis of publicly available data in order to anticipate and/or detect significant societal events, such as political crises, humanitarian crises, mass violence, riots, mass migrations, disease outbreaks, economic instability, resource shortages, and responses to natural disasters. Performers will be evaluated on the basis of warnings that they deliver about real-world events.

You can register here (just name, email and organization):

http://si.usf.edu/forms/register.aspx